So Ted Cruz is supposed to announce on Monday that he’s going to run for president in 2016. Will anyone surprised by this please raise your hand?
My mind goes back to last May, when the RNC moved to try and shield the American People from the insanity of their field by having fewer debates. It seemed like a pipe dream even then, and that was before everyone except Romney/the kitchen sink decided to run.
Cruz joins an already crowded field that includes: Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, Scott Walker, and Rick Perry, among other possibilities, like Sarah Palin.
Walker managed to win the straw poll in Iowa and I still believe that Walker is the most likely candidate in 2016, even though he’ll probably crash and burn during the general, like Romney did. A MaClatchy-Marist poll this month supports my intuition regarding the GOPs’ most visible Pinkerton agent/anti-union thug, with a full 25% of “very conservative” Republicans and 25% of Teabaggers supporting him.
Cruz, meanwhile, has only 3% of each group, which puts he of the coloring book far behind the others. This is true even in his home state of Texas.
Cruz was also the weakest rival to potential Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, something the same survey revealed.
For the GOP, the field is looking crowded. The big names on the field right now — Rubio, Walker, and Bush — are viewed rather unfavorably, with only 19% of the population polled at a Qunnipiac Poll in Iowa giving the three a favorable rating. Cruz, by contrast, has a 46% rating with Republicans, 60% with Teabaggers, and 55% with White evangelicals, which means that Iowans, at least, are more receptive to him.
One thing is for sure, and that’s the media attention he’ll have on Monday. If he announces that he’s running for president, I’m sure it won’t matter how many debates the GOP has: with this field, one is too many.