Since still being a year away makes it difficult to predict how the 2014 mid-terms will play out, The Cook Political Report has revised their ratings of 14 key races in the House of Representatives next year.
It would appear that the fallout over the two-week Republican-engineered shutdown of the government is already having such an impact on the polling data, showing that 14 races were re-classified as leaning away from the Republican in the race toward the Democratic candidate.
In a statement released side-by-side with their new projections, the Cook group made sure to point out that while “Democrats still have a very uphill climb to a majority, and it’s doubtful they can sustain this month’s momentum for another year,” that “Republicans’ actions have energized Democratic fundraising and recruiting efforts and handed Democrats a potentially effective message.”
Specifically, Cook said that the races involving Republican incumbents Tim Walberg , Mark Takano, Justin Amash, and Tom Reed are all in more danger of being lost to a Democratic challenger. Republicans would need to lose a total of 17 seats in the House to relinquish their majority rule to the Democrats. Swings of 20 seats or more are not uncommon at all. In fact, of the last five House elections, three have produced swings of at least 20 seats.
Eve early analysis showed the shift in polling. Watch the video below: